Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.277010 2.602620 2.959456 3.379729 3.861462 4.396727 5.037082
2025-08-03 1.754121 2.187839 2.706867 3.374650 4.212531 5.231041 6.566266
2025-08-10 1.457440 1.929141 2.528534 3.347865 4.441848 5.856724 7.833059
2025-08-17 1.239892 1.722488 2.366439 3.291336 4.590809 6.359251 8.962078
2025-08-24 1.113380 1.613109 2.308877 3.352286 4.885033 7.066110 10.427247
2025-08-31 1.009890 1.519040 2.255342 3.403039 5.157673 7.756611 11.931004
2025-09-07 0.906280 1.410191 2.164388 3.381924 5.312137 8.277417 13.223673
2025-09-14 0.810006 1.300223 2.057449 3.319975 5.389640 8.678160 14.358896
2025-09-21 0.734551 1.213894 1.976504 3.287054 5.503996 9.139911 15.631142
2025-09-28 0.666354 1.131607 1.892569 3.237966 5.582090 9.543034 16.837864
2025-10-05 0.654602 1.141881 1.960906 3.450149 6.121800 10.771517 19.603061
2025-10-12 0.611436 1.093363 1.924082 3.474346 6.331835 11.443304 21.434503
2025-10-19 0.579719 1.066274 1.929375 3.588452 6.742466 12.563936 24.322774
2025-10-26 0.532224 1.006410 1.871638 3.584022 6.940159 13.329499 26.661878
2025-11-02 0.487449 0.946236 1.806050 3.555485 7.085067 14.005598 28.901180
2025-11-09 0.444118 0.883887 1.729284 3.495360 7.158408 14.545714 30.924891
2025-11-16 0.419707 0.856046 1.716115 3.560190 7.490873 15.641664 34.252683
2025-11-23 0.396426 0.827856 1.698983 3.614176 7.805400 16.733316 37.706908
2025-11-30 0.367869 0.785608 1.648610 3.591716 7.952024 17.481284 40.483949
2025-12-07 0.338196 0.737858 1.581782 3.525822 7.994421 18.003670 42.804372
2025-12-14 0.314067 0.699664 1.531461 3.490805 8.101810 18.681998 45.577706
2025-12-21 0.290816 0.661041 1.476309 3.438593 8.162857 19.258986 48.176154
2025-12-28 0.290368 0.674144 1.537785 3.664288 8.908354 21.532821 55.309307